gofurman wrote: ↑Sun Dec 15, 2024 7:05 pm
FUBeAR wrote: ↑Sun Dec 15, 2024 9:28 am
gofurman wrote: ↑Sun Dec 15, 2024 12:48 am
apaladin wrote: ↑Sat Dec 14, 2024 11:55 pm
Not a great weekend of FCS football. Closest game was 14 points. As usual, the Dakotas and Montana are left to fight it out.
Mercer…Didn’t see the game
Shoulda just left it at this
I’ve watched it now. Mercer got azz kicked.
Just facts
* Game Score was NDSU 31 - Mercer 7
* NDSU scored 2 TD’s within 5 minutes and 29 seconds of Kickoff on 6 plays of Offense by each Team.
* 5 of Mercer’s 1st 6 plays on Offense were marred by fundamental ‘unforced errors.’ Similar to how the Bears started @ Samford earlier this season, they were truly awful and unprepared on Offense and the Defense seemed to be overwhelmed by the (kinda) sudden change / fundamental ineptitude of the Bears Offense.
* Those 5 minutes and 26 seconds and those 14 points, OBVIOUSLY ‘count.’ To pretend they don’t would be asinine. To ‘call out’ that they count, as a response to a deeper analysis of the full context of the entire game, would be even more asinine than that.
* For the next 52 minutes and 34 seconds, Mercer and NDSU engaged in a 10-7 rock fight (favoring NDSU by 3) that looked like a 10-7 rock fight between 2 evenly matched Teams with neither Team able to do much damage when they had the ball.
_____ * NDSU averaged yielding ~1 sack/game. Mercer sacked NDSU’s QB 4 times
_____ * NDSU averaged yielding ~4 tackles for loss/game. Mercer hit the bizuns for 10 TFL’s
_____ * NDSU’s QB had thrown 2 INT’s in 13 games. Mercer’s D doubled that number for him on Saturday
_____ * Mercer held NDSU to about 1/2 of their average yards rushing / game
_____ * NDSU gained 124 yards in the 1st 5:29. They gained ~200 yards in their next 9 possessions
_____ * 5 SoCon Teams threw for as many, or more yards on Mercer’s D as NDSU did
_____ * 3 SoCon Teams gained more total yards on Mercer’s D than NDSU did
_____ * 3 SoCon Teams scored as many, or more points vs. Mercer as NDSU did
_____ * Mercer’s RB’s gained 125 net yards on 19 attempts, with only 1 loss of yards - ~7 yds/attempt - certainly not a sign of being overmatched in the trenches.
_____ * Mercer’s RB, CJ Miller, avg’d over 14 yds/attempt, but only had 4 touches (5, 28, 23, 2), all in the 1st half. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
NDSU’s final score, the one that enabled them to ‘cover the spread,’ came on a relatively short field after Mercer, making a tactical risk/reward decision given the score/time remaining, turned the ball over trying/failing to convert a 4th down, just over midfield. FUBeAR would have punted there, hoping to pin them deep and get another turnover / turnover score. Much better chance of that than converting / going another 45 yards…with the way the game had gone. Regardless, that final TD / 54 yards only mattered to the gamblers & statisticians. It, of course, ‘counted.’ That’s right there in the box score, but it didn’t matter with regard to the outcome of the game or even very much at all, relatively, in an objective analysis of the game / competitiveness of the 2 combatants.
Now, FUBeAR does not like being critical of Coaches, but he has a lot of questions about Mercer’s Offensive game play, Offensive personnel moves/usage, and Offensive playcalling /design. Mercer’s PassPro was horrible all day as NDSU sent 6 and 7 on “passing downs.” After that 1st 5:29, the only aspect of the game where Mercer did look “overmatched” was PassPro / response to pressure.
NDSU definitely had the better Team overall. Their QB, Receivers, and D-Front are outstanding. They may win another National Championship. That said, though not as good, overall, Mercer, was not, and any of the Top 4 Teams in the SoCon, would not be “overmatched” by NDSU. On a neutral or home field, Mercer ‘24 probably wins 3 or 4 games out of 10 vs. NDSU ‘24 and ‘24 Chatt, ETSU, and WCU probably win at least 1 or 2 of those.
The bizuns are very, very good. They play hard, fundamentally-sound Football. They are talented and deep. They don’t beat themselves. They don’t ‘not show up entirely’ for 5 and a half minutes. They are half-a-head - not head and shoulders - above the best in the SoCon.
Watching the game AND understanding Football will inform an objective, informed observer of that reality.