apaladin wrote: ↑Mon Dec 04, 2023 5:02 pm
It was fun last year looking at the NET ratings, kenpom etc. but we can pretty much ignore them this year.
I can understand your reluctance. Since March of 2018 I've been tracking the usual suspects game-by-game (because I have nothing better to do). Since that season:
- Our current Massey rating of 143 has never dropped this low. The good news is the next lowest rating (130) occurred just last year at a similar point in the schedule (after the Old Dominion loss).
- Sagarin: Not sure why, but Sagarin hasn't been updated since March Madness ended last season
- KenPom: Our pre-Princeton 146 has improved to 136, today. Our only other rating this low was in 2018-19 when our 146/147 KenPom got a couple of jolts from wins against Loyola-Chicago & Villanova.
- ESPN BPI: our pre-Princeton index of 168 has improved to 163, today. Our index began this year at 152 and has yet to improve above that. The good news is, just like Massey, our next lowest index (147) occurred just last year after the loss at WCU.
- NCAA Net: Our current 160 has never dropped this low; however, just like ESPN BPI our next lowest Net (158) occurred just after our loss at WCU.
- Team Rankings: Our pre-Princeton 138 has improved to 131, today; though previously it's never dropped this low (since last year's post WCU loss of 120).
So, yeah, the current figures are ugly, But last year's ESPN BPI, NCAA Net, and Team Rankings scores were nearly just as awful after the WCU loss - and we all know how our season recovered after that (and that includes the gut-punch we received later from The Citadel). And last year's Massey low occurred at exactly this point in the schedule - and same with our next lowest KenPom that occurred just before 2018-19 Loyola/'Nova.
Take a deep breath and hang on. Lotta upside comin'