• Furman vs. Liberty Nov. 16th (MBI First Round)

 #80215  by furpop16
 Tue Nov 14, 2023 11:44 am
tya1 wrote:
Tue Nov 14, 2023 10:32 am

It is possible that a Paladin tournament championship would require victories over the #1. #3, and #4 ranked teams by KenPom. Liberty is #66, Wichita State is #109 and St. Louis is #128. Furman is 2nd at #96. How many tournaments match #1 and #2 against each other in the first round?

Looks like a bracket designed to benefit Charleston.

Wow; no kiddin' . The good news is if we can run that gauntlet we'll be a certified beast.
FU Hoopla liked this
 #80222  by FU Hoopla
 Tue Nov 14, 2023 1:01 pm
furpop16 wrote:
Tue Nov 14, 2023 11:44 am
tya1 wrote:
Tue Nov 14, 2023 10:32 am

It is possible that a Paladin tournament championship would require victories over the #1. #3, and #4 ranked teams by KenPom. Liberty is #66, Wichita State is #109 and St. Louis is #128. Furman is 2nd at #96. How many tournaments match #1 and #2 against each other in the first round?

Looks like a bracket designed to benefit Charleston.

Wow; no kiddin' . The good news is if we can run that gauntlet we'll be a certified beast.

Image
 #80277  by Bootie
 Wed Nov 15, 2023 7:40 am
PaladinPower wrote:
Wed Nov 15, 2023 7:27 am
FU Hoopla wrote:
Tue Nov 14, 2023 8:29 pm
Will be interesting to see how Vegas views the point spread of this game...
I'm expecting Liberty to be favored by 2-3 points. Should be a fantastic game.
I don’t know my way around betting sites but am seeing some that favor Furman by 5 points. Then ESPN favors Liberty at 71%.

In the simplest terms possible, how are these early-season odds and predictions generated when there is very little historical data to go on? Is it just a guessing game?
 #80281  by FU Hoopla
 Wed Nov 15, 2023 9:02 am
Bootie wrote:
Wed Nov 15, 2023 7:40 am
PaladinPower wrote:
Wed Nov 15, 2023 7:27 am
FU Hoopla wrote:
Tue Nov 14, 2023 8:29 pm
Will be interesting to see how Vegas views the point spread of this game...
I'm expecting Liberty to be favored by 2-3 points. Should be a fantastic game.
I don’t know my way around betting sites but am seeing some that favor Furman by 5 points. Then ESPN favors Liberty at 71%.

In the simplest terms possible, how are these early-season odds and predictions generated when there is very little historical data to go on? Is it just a guessing game?

Educated guess, maybe sometimes more educated than others ;)
 #80286  by KingPaladin
 Wed Nov 15, 2023 10:02 am
Bootie wrote:
Wed Nov 15, 2023 7:40 am
PaladinPower wrote:
Wed Nov 15, 2023 7:27 am
FU Hoopla wrote:
Tue Nov 14, 2023 8:29 pm
Will be interesting to see how Vegas views the point spread of this game...
I'm expecting Liberty to be favored by 2-3 points. Should be a fantastic game.
I don’t know my way around betting sites but am seeing some that favor Furman by 5 points. Then ESPN favors Liberty at 71%.

In the simplest terms possible, how are these early-season odds and predictions generated when there is very little historical data to go on? Is it just a guessing game?
ESPN had the Celtics at a 97% chance to beat the Heat last year and they lost. 85% chance to win the Finals the year before. Safe to look past their projections
FU Hoopla liked this
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