Yep, FUBeAR has a lot more grey matter than most of us.
Hmmm?
Correct….and certainly worth repeatingThe Jackal wrote: ↑Mon Oct 30, 2023 11:50 amIf Furman beats UTC, they'll hold the tiebreaker over everyone even in a 3-way or 4-way tie for the autobid.
So, win Saturday and Furman will have at least a share of the SoCon title and the autobid.
Yes - correct.
The Jackal wrote: ↑Mon Oct 30, 2023 12:06 pmTickets to Playoffs, in my view. The SoCon has a decent shot to get four teams in.
Furman:
Beat UTC and Furman will hit 8 wins, lock up the autobid, and a share of the SoCon title. Whatever happens with VMI and Wofford, Furman will be in the post season with a win Saturday. Obviously, get past UTC and Furman still has two games in which they will be heavily favored.
Lose to UTC and Furman still would have a shot to get to 9-2 and may have an outside argument for a seed. However, the top 10 is crawling with Big Sky teams elbowing for room.
UTC:
Furman is their last SoCon game. They've already hit 7 wins. A win against Furman and they'll be the autobid and in the playoffs.
A loss against Furman and UTC will have an good as an at large at a 7-4 record (assuming a loss to Alabama). They will have beaten Mercer, but lost to Furman and WCU. UTC also has arguably the "worst loss" of any SoCon playoff contender - the early loss to North Alabama.
Western Carolina
5-3 overall, but still ranked in the top 15 or so in most polls. They finish with Wofford, ETSU, and VMI, which should get them to 8 wins and a playoff spot. Any other loss and they may be out of the running.
Mercer
The Bears have six wins and are in a spot to make a run at the post season. Mercer still has a winnable game against the Citadel, and a dangerous game against Samford, who essentially ended their post season hopes last year. Their win in Cullowhee was a huge one for them.
In my view, Mercer can't afford another loss. They'll have to get to 8 wins.
This worries me. WCU could lose to us and be fine. UTC …FUpaladin08 wrote: ↑Mon Oct 30, 2023 9:15 pmThe Jackal wrote: ↑Mon Oct 30, 2023 12:06 pmTickets to Playoffs, in my view. The SoCon has a decent shot to get four teams in.
Furman:
Beat UTC and Furman will hit 8 wins, lock up the autobid, and a share of the SoCon title. Whatever happens with VMI and Wofford, Furman will be in the post season with a win Saturday. Obviously, get past UTC and Furman still has two games in which they will be heavily favored.
Lose to UTC and Furman still would have a shot to get to 9-2 and may have an outside argument for a seed. However, the top 10 is crawling with Big Sky teams elbowing for room.
UTC:
Furman is their last SoCon game. They've already hit 7 wins. A win against Furman and they'll be the autobid and in the playoffs.
A loss against Furman and UTC will have an good as an at large at a 7-4 record (assuming a loss to Alabama). They will have beaten Mercer, but lost to Furman and WCU. UTC also has arguably the "worst loss" of any SoCon playoff contender - the early loss to North Alabama.
Western Carolina
5-3 overall, but still ranked in the top 15 or so in most polls. They finish with Wofford, ETSU, and VMI, which should get them to 8 wins and a playoff spot. Any other loss and they may be out of the running.
Mercer
The Bears have six wins and are in a spot to make a run at the post season. Mercer still has a winnable game against the Citadel, and a dangerous game against Samford, who essentially ended their post season hopes last year. Their win in Cullowhee was a huge one for them.
In my view, Mercer can't afford another loss. They'll have to get to 8 wins.
Nice and simple.
To get four I think UTC has to beat FU, then WCU and Mercer win out right? That probably gets 4 in with no seeds and tough road games.
While I’m all for the most SoCon teams I’m sure we’re all cheering for Furman to get home field throughout the playoffs, and get two more SoCon teams. Unfortunately I think UTCs entire playoff hopes ride on this week and that makes them dangerous.
FUBeAR, a highly compensated FCS Bracketologist when he was in the Navy, doesn’t see a 7-4 Chatt Team getting an At-Large bid. The bubble this year will be bigger than the one in which Glinda floated down to earth…and there will be 26 Big Sky, MVFC, and CAA Teams with 7-4 or 8-3 records.