FU @ Belmont Nov. 15th

[din23]

An interesting breakdown of schools getting votes in today's AP Top 25 hoops poll:
https://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/rankings

6 schools do not have football (Gonzaga, St. Bonaventure, Xavier, Seton Hall, St. John's, Loyola Chicago)

32 schools in FBS Power 5

6 schools in FBS Non-Power 5 (Memphis, Houston, Uconn, BYU, Colorado St., Ohio)

2 schools in FCS (Villanova and Furman)

1 school in FCS non-scholarship (Drake)

Interesting that three of those schools are Furman, Drake, and Colorado State. Niko is quite the builder.

[Paul C]

Any way to see what his model said for the Louisville game?

I believe it predicted us to lose by 12 or so....

early in the season so these models are still figuring things out.

[youwouldno]

Any way to see what his model said for the Louisville game?

Paladins were 10-point underdogs per Pomeroy. I noted elsewhere but it wasn't really that huge of an upset in mathematical terms, it was more the context (storied Louisville program, etc.). Just being at home is worth 3 points.

Generally speaking, top mid-major teams tend to be a bit underrated early in the season with systems that rely on prior year data and regression formulas (e.g., Pomeroy). It's the most accurate approach overall though (as opposed to wild swings based on a handful of early games).

[Louis Tully]

Vegas had the Dins at +10.5. It was too easy.

[furpop16]

Vegas had the Dins at +10.5. It was too easy.

Odds Shark has FU at +6.5 and Belmont at -5.5.

[DungeonRealm]

[purplehorse]

Nice to see Hien hit his easy short shots. Rafferty used to do this while Gurley would miss so many easy shots.

[Furmanoid]

Awesome so far. They want to take away the three so we’re just blowing past them to the hoop.

[furpop16]

I was worried the guys would still be buzzed from Friday's exciting win. But they appear focused and aren't intimidated. Go FU !!

[DungeonRealm]

Refs bias so far for Belmont on the foul calls

[DungeonRealm]

[mathprofhiker]

No signs of being satisfied with the win at Louisville; that's a good thing. Good offensive execution even though Belmont is doing a good job of covering up Bothwell. Fouls are a concern (again).

[DungeonRealm]

so many uncalled fouls on Belmont, joke

[furpop16]

They're holding Bothwell to only 2. Meantime their guy, Wood, is hot with 10.

[DungeonRealm]

These gotta be OVC refs for sure, big time bias in favor of Belmont on the calls