Furmanoid wrote: ↑Mon Jun 08, 2020 8:53 am
Yep, I wish we could get 4 yds against that stacked box. Lots of plays are designed to do that. And if you can do it, everything else falls into place.
In my opinion, how far Furman goes in 2020 hangs on the answer to this question.
Looking at last season, completion percentage was probably the most closely linked indicator as to how well our offense played. Games against VMI, UTC, Samford, and Mercer, the completion percentage was around mid 50s or higher. I think that's the range we need to be in.
Interestingly, the volume of passing really isn't relevant. That is, we don't really need to throw for a bunch of yards to make the passing game effective. We just have to complete the throws.
When you look at our less-than-stellar offensive games, you see the opposite trend. In games against ETSU and Wofford, completion percentages were in the low 40s. Against Citadel, it was a ghastly 20%. The Citadel is a good team, but they aren't THAT good.
APSU tends to be a bit of a statistical outlier because the completion percentage there was a decent 53%. APSU had the best run defense we played, though, and was perfectly fine letting Furman try to dink and dunk their way down the field all game (average Furman completion was 5.5 yards). You better be higher than 53% to play that sort of offensive game against a good team.