The guys who put out percentages say GSU 70%.. FU 30%. Souinds about right. Consider they are supposed to be a little better than last year - returning strong QB and top WR corps (our weakness)... they beat Kennesaw State last year with, again, a supposedly lesser team.. so they are the equivalent of a top10/15 FCS club. and it's on the road. So like going to a top 10 FCS club in playoffs. Except we have the distinct disadvantage of being our QBs second real game. If this were in October I might say 50/50 but a returning starting QB vs a QB in his second real game of college, on the road. That's a tough ask for anyone - no slight to our QBs.
The big advantage for us is GSU sometimes struggle to stop the run. If it plays out that way, then yeah, we are in it to win it. Everyone sees GSU won 2 games last year but they won 7 the year before and are supposed to be a little better this year as they were young last year... most say they are a 3 or 4 win club this year. (You can see - just for fun - the odds on how many games a team should win on Vegas sites). the over/under for GSU is 3.5 I think. Which would mean they are to beat us.