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TeamRankings.com
PostPosted:Mon Feb 11, 2019 12:21 pm
by apaladin
The above site after the ETSU game has FU a 43% chance of making the NCAA tournament. They give FU only an 18% chance of winning the SoCon tournament. They are predicting a 24-6 final regular season record. It also says IF FU reaches 27 wins, which means we would have to win the last 5 games plus 2 in the tournament they give FU a 98% chance of making the tournament.
Re: TeamRankings.com
PostPosted:Mon Feb 11, 2019 1:39 pm
by Paul C
winning out but losing in the SoCon finals AND STILL making the NCAA's would be a pleasant and somewhat surprising outcome....
Re: TeamRankings.com
PostPosted:Mon Feb 11, 2019 4:29 pm
by fufanatic
Paul C wrote: ↑Mon Feb 11, 2019 1:39 pm
winning out but losing in the SoCon finals AND STILL making the NCAA's would be a pleasant and somewhat surprising outcome....
I believe it would be one of those scenarios where we would probably have the resume to make the tournament, but not the name recognition. Being ranked and beating Nova/Loyola could even the playing field a bit though. Hard to trust the committee, better just win the SoCon Tourney.
Re: TeamRankings.com
PostPosted:Mon Feb 11, 2019 9:00 pm
by apaladin
fufanatic wrote: ↑Mon Feb 11, 2019 4:29 pm
Paul C wrote: ↑Mon Feb 11, 2019 1:39 pm
winning out but losing in the SoCon finals AND STILL making the NCAA's would be a pleasant and somewhat surprising outcome....
I believe it would be one of those scenarios where we would probably have the resume to make the tournament, but not the name recognition. Being ranked and beating Nova/Loyola could even the playing field a bit though. Hard to trust the committee, better just win the SoCon Tourney.
Agree, you got to give those deserving 14 loss teams in the VERY top heavy ACC a bid for example.
Re: TeamRankings.com
PostPosted:Mon Feb 11, 2019 9:44 pm
by tya1
apaladin wrote: ↑Mon Feb 11, 2019 12:21 pm
The above site after the ETSU game has FU a 43% chance of making the NCAA tournament. They give FU only an 18% chance of winning the SoCon tournament. They are predicting a 24-6 final regular season record. It also says IF FU reaches 27 wins, which means we would have to win the last 5 games plus 2 in the tournament they give FU a 98% chance of making the tournament.
There are two ways to reach 27 wins.
(1) win the remaining regular season games and lose in the SoCon tournament championship game or (2) lose 1 regular season game and win 3 in the tournament. With scenario (2) there is a 100% change of getting a NCAA bid. Scenario (1) allows a good chance but no guarantee. The 98% chance includes both possibilities.