Our chances to play in post season

[Affirm]

What are our chances to
• win SoCon and go to NCAA Tourney?
• make it to CIT?
• make it to CBI?
• make it to NIT?
My guess is
• NCAA 10% NOW updated to 2%
• CIT 40% NOW updated to 1%
• CBI 40% NOW updated to 1%
• NIT 5% NOW updated to 0%
Will update after a little more research
Did not know about, or at least did not remember,, College Basketball Classic: So, CBC 0%

[tim]

Not sure but I don't think the CIT exists any longer. The CBI still exists as a pay for play in Daytona Beach only. The NIT will offer an at large but it will be interesting to see how it is affected by the new Fox tourney "College Basketball Classic" or some such. It will apparently poach teams from the NIT. Your %s look good except CIT but I doubt Furman will pay for play. It will be a shame to have the probable record we will have and stay home but it looks SOCON tourney or bust.

[Roundball]

NCAA 25% I still believe in this team playing more consistent basketball by tournament time. We can beat any team in the SoCon.
NIT 0%
I seriously doubt Coach Richey would choose to go to the CIT or CBI tournament, so my guess is 0%. By the way, there is still a CIT Tournament for 2025.https://www.collegeinsider.com/tourname ... mittee.php

[Davemeister]

Agree that we are capable of beating any team in the Conference. But we are not consistent enough to do it 3 or 4 days in a row without Divine Intervention.

[Paladin91]

If we have a play-in game in SOCON tourney, I give us little chance. It's tough winning four in a row in straight days. If we're seeded in top 6, I think we may have a 10-15% chance. We have good guard play, but we're still missng the athletic forward that can score points. I personally like ETSU to win it.

As for the other tournaments, NCAA is all that matters to me.

[Dins&Heels]

A week ago I was optimistic but now it’s more like 0.0% for me. Other teams focus on shutting down PJay and/or Anderson…and the next level guys don’t consistently step up as will be necessary to win in Asheville.
We don’t really have anything to lose by playing Humphries and Hughey some more and seeing what they can do.

[apaladin]

NCAA 3%
NIT 0%
CIT 0%
CBI 0%
Vegas 0%
There’s always a chance in Asheville, 3-4 games in a row is just asking too much. We have too many players that can look good in a game and be a complete no show the next. Thus the inconsistency. I can only remember one game where this team played really well start to finish and that was at WCU. I think a perfect example of the inconsistency was last Sunday’s game at ETSU. Played as good as possible for 27 minutes but the other 13 minutes were off the chart bad and enough to lose the game.

[apaladin]

A week ago I was optimistic but now it’s more like 0.0% for me. Other teams focus on shutting down PJay and/or Anderson…and the next level guys don’t consistently step up as will be necessary to win in Asheville.
We don’t really have anything to lose by playing Humphries and Hughey some more and seeing what they can do.

Really no point in playing Hughey at this point. Humphries had 2 points and 1 rebound in 11 minutes Saturday. Does that really warrant more PT?

[Affirm]

Updates to my original guesses are posted now

[RaleighDin]

A week ago I was optimistic but now it’s more like 0.0% for me. Other teams focus on shutting down PJay and/or Anderson…and the next level guys don’t consistently step up as will be necessary to win in Asheville.
We don’t really have anything to lose by playing Humphries and Hughey some more and seeing what they can do.

Really no point in playing Hughey at this point. Humphries had 2 points and 1 rebound in 11 minutes Saturday. Does that really warrant more PT?

How is there no point in playing Hughey? He brings effort and physicality that no one else on our roster matches. Not to mention he's a good rebounder. Oh, he also has 4 years in the system.

[Bootie]

Agree that we are capable of beating any team in the Conference. But we are not consistent enough to do it 3 or 4 days in a row without Divine Intervention.

CBR = Divine Intervention

[Sad Din]

haha.. win a couple games and folks will start making plans to the Final 4

[Affirm]

haha.. win a couple games and folks will start making plans to the Final 4

You must be referring to Clemson folks, am I correct?
Or Alabama?
No doubt the Auburn folks plans were long ago finalized.

[tya1]

The comments showing the usual bi-polarity. Too optimistic or too pessimistic. Except for apaladin, who is normally pessimistic.
The record has been quite a bit better than I expected before the season. During the pre-conference we somehow won every close game and came from behind repeatedly. That probably increased the emphasis the other SoCon teams placed on game planning us. What they realized was that after losing four key players, including our top three scorers, we were a better shooting, but less athletic team than last year. We had some potential weakness on defense and they have increased the physicality of play to exploit that. That often happens in conference play at all levels anyway. It coincided with injured shooting hands for our two best three point shooters. Not a good coincidence for us.

Last year Pegues and Whitt were very dangerous to pressure because they could blow by over committed defenders to the hoop. Smith and Anderson can drive but are not as great a threat. In a way Foster was a tougher low post threat than anyone this year. We need to continue to develop our post up threats the rest of the season.

We have four more home games - Mercer, UNCG,VMI, and the Citadel - and road games at Samford and Wofford. The Massey ratings predict us to go 4-2, and the Wofford game is basically 50/50. I think most people would have been very happy with a 22 or 23 win regular season before in started. I expect all of these remaining games will be a challenge and am looking forward to it.

[apaladin]

tya1- I am pessimistic when warranted but also positive when warranted but people seem to ignore those posts which is totally ok. See ya Wednesday. Go Paladins!