The difference is Furman could end up with more Quad 1 wins this year than last year, and Furman has no horrible loss...Remember the loss to Samford last year was more detrimental than any win...Including Villanova.
At 28-6 and a loss to ETSU in the title game we would get a look, but I think they screw us just like they did a 28-6 UNCG team last year with no high major OOC wins (by high major you know what I mean, Winthrop and Loyola are nice but they are not high major)
Belmont got in last year and they had only 5 loses and a win @ UCLA, this year I think that's what ETSU can shoot for since they have the @ LSU win