I will say 8 for an 8-4 regular season. I think 9 would be great
HONEST GUESS now... what do you say?
HONEST GUESS now... what do you say?
Davemeister liked this
How many games do we win - REGULAR SEASON - Honest guess !
Being optimistic 6-7.
Starting with a few assumptions - Furman was the most talented team in the league last season. We lost some of that talent, but so did everyone else.
at Ole Miss - Loss. I am loosely of the opinion that Ole Miss may be the best FBS team Furman has played in years. We have a new defensive backfield, and UM has a lot of talent at QB and WR.
CSU - Win. CSU is typically stingy defensively. They weren't great last season, but played teams tough. Good news for Furman is the Bucs have the Citadel in week 1, so they are not going to be able to load up for Furman.
Stetson - Win. Stetson was a 3-8 Pioneer league team. The beat two NAIA schools and squeaked by PC. Stetson was handled last year by Montana State, which is the only school last season they played that was probably on par with Furman. Furman should win this one by a few scores.
at W&M - Win. A road game against a CAA team, but I just am not that impressed with CAA teams and Furman has handled them pretty well in recent years. By this point, some of our young guys will be veterans.
Samford - Win. Furman has pretty well figured out the Hatch Attack, I think. They lost a lot of their production from last year. In typical Samford fashion, their out of conference schedule early isn't overwhelming, and they may give Florida a scare, but Furman tends to line up well with them.
at the Citadel - Win. Playing in Charleston is always tough. The Citadel plays us tough there. They were 0-11 last season. This one may be a rock fight, but Furman should be the more talented team. Coach Vaughn always has a good game plan for the Bulldogs.
UTC - Loss. Mocs are going to be tough. It's not atypical for us to drop a conference game. This seems to be the most likely one.
WCU - Win. I think the only win WCU has had in Greenville since 1994 was 10 years ago. It may be uncomfortable, and the Cats have a good QB, but that's not atypical for them coming into Greenville. Furman always seems to beat this team at Paladin Stadium.
at VMI - Win. Keydets are always tough in Lexington, but Furman looked clearly the better team last season with Carson Jones at QB. They had a hard time covering Furman's receivers. I'm not sure that's going to be better for them this year.
Wofford - Win. Furman is going to repay the Terriers for last years debacle. Furman big.
at ETSU - Loss. ETSU has a lot of unanswered questions, but we'll know a lot more about them at that point in the season. They have a lot of transfers and a new coach, but Furman should be more talented. Even then, Furman tends to always have a head scratcher game, and I'm fearful that either this one or the Mercer game will be that game.
at Mercer - Win. Similar to ETSU, there's a lot of new to Mercer this season. They lost their most productive players on offense, but return a stout defense. Furman has seemed to figure out Mercer the last two years - good games, but never really seemed like Furman was threatened by them.
So, 9-3. I can see the Paladins losing a game or two along the way against a lesser talented team. It's really hard to win consistently in the Southern Conference - every team sees every team every year.
On a positive note, the two teams that had big coaching changes (Mercer and ETSU) we see later in the year after there's enough film on them and their personnel. Furman also has their arguably most talented opponents at home. Watch out for that Charleston Southern game - they gave us fits down there two years ago.
at Ole Miss - Loss. I am loosely of the opinion that Ole Miss may be the best FBS team Furman has played in years. We have a new defensive backfield, and UM has a lot of talent at QB and WR.
CSU - Win. CSU is typically stingy defensively. They weren't great last season, but played teams tough. Good news for Furman is the Bucs have the Citadel in week 1, so they are not going to be able to load up for Furman.
Stetson - Win. Stetson was a 3-8 Pioneer league team. The beat two NAIA schools and squeaked by PC. Stetson was handled last year by Montana State, which is the only school last season they played that was probably on par with Furman. Furman should win this one by a few scores.
at W&M - Win. A road game against a CAA team, but I just am not that impressed with CAA teams and Furman has handled them pretty well in recent years. By this point, some of our young guys will be veterans.
Samford - Win. Furman has pretty well figured out the Hatch Attack, I think. They lost a lot of their production from last year. In typical Samford fashion, their out of conference schedule early isn't overwhelming, and they may give Florida a scare, but Furman tends to line up well with them.
at the Citadel - Win. Playing in Charleston is always tough. The Citadel plays us tough there. They were 0-11 last season. This one may be a rock fight, but Furman should be the more talented team. Coach Vaughn always has a good game plan for the Bulldogs.
UTC - Loss. Mocs are going to be tough. It's not atypical for us to drop a conference game. This seems to be the most likely one.
WCU - Win. I think the only win WCU has had in Greenville since 1994 was 10 years ago. It may be uncomfortable, and the Cats have a good QB, but that's not atypical for them coming into Greenville. Furman always seems to beat this team at Paladin Stadium.
at VMI - Win. Keydets are always tough in Lexington, but Furman looked clearly the better team last season with Carson Jones at QB. They had a hard time covering Furman's receivers. I'm not sure that's going to be better for them this year.
Wofford - Win. Furman is going to repay the Terriers for last years debacle. Furman big.
at ETSU - Loss. ETSU has a lot of unanswered questions, but we'll know a lot more about them at that point in the season. They have a lot of transfers and a new coach, but Furman should be more talented. Even then, Furman tends to always have a head scratcher game, and I'm fearful that either this one or the Mercer game will be that game.
at Mercer - Win. Similar to ETSU, there's a lot of new to Mercer this season. They lost their most productive players on offense, but return a stout defense. Furman has seemed to figure out Mercer the last two years - good games, but never really seemed like Furman was threatened by them.
So, 9-3. I can see the Paladins losing a game or two along the way against a lesser talented team. It's really hard to win consistently in the Southern Conference - every team sees every team every year.
On a positive note, the two teams that had big coaching changes (Mercer and ETSU) we see later in the year after there's enough film on them and their personnel. Furman also has their arguably most talented opponents at home. Watch out for that Charleston Southern game - they gave us fits down there two years ago.
DoomedDin1127 liked this
Jackal. REALLY appreciate the detail. I should go back and pick my 4 losses.The Jackal wrote: ↑Wed Aug 07, 2024 11:27 amStarting with a few assumptions - Furman was the most talented team in the league last season. We lost some of that talent, but so did everyone else.
at Ole Miss - Loss. I am loosely of the opinion that Ole Miss may be the best FBS team Furman has played in years. We have a new defensive backfield, and UM has a lot of talent at QB and WR.
CSU - Win. CSU is typically stingy defensively. They weren't great last season, but played teams tough. Good news for Furman is the Bucs have the Citadel in week 1, so they are not going to be able to load up for Furman.
Stetson - Win. Stetson was a 3-8 Pioneer league team. The beat two NAIA schools and squeaked by PC. Stetson was handled last year by Montana State, which is the only school last season they played that was probably on par with Furman. Furman should win this one by a few scores.
at W&M - Win. A road game against a CAA team, but I just am not that impressed with CAA teams and Furman has handled them pretty well in recent years. By this point, some of our young guys will be veterans.
Samford - Win. Furman has pretty well figured out the Hatch Attack, I think. They lost a lot of their production from last year. In typical Samford fashion, their out of conference schedule early isn't overwhelming, and they may give Florida a scare, but Furman tends to line up well with them.
at the Citadel - Win. Playing in Charleston is always tough. The Citadel plays us tough there. They were 0-11 last season. This one may be a rock fight, but Furman should be the more talented team. Coach Vaughn always has a good game plan for the Bulldogs.
UTC - Loss. Mocs are going to be tough. It's not atypical for us to drop a conference game. This seems to be the most likely one.
WCU - Win. I think the only win WCU has had in Greenville since 1994 was 10 years ago. It may be uncomfortable, and the Cats have a good QB, but that's not atypical for them coming into Greenville. Furman always seems to beat this team at Paladin Stadium.
at VMI - Win. Keydets are always tough in Lexington, but Furman looked clearly the better team last season with Carson Jones at QB. They had a hard time covering Furman's receivers. I'm not sure that's going to be better for them this year.
Wofford - Win. Furman is going to repay the Terriers for last years debacle. Furman big.
at ETSU - Loss. ETSU has a lot of unanswered questions, but we'll know a lot more about them at that point in the season. They have a lot of transfers and a new coach, but Furman should be more talented. Even then, Furman tends to always have a head scratcher game, and I'm fearful that either this one or the Mercer game will be that game.
at Mercer - Win. Similar to ETSU, there's a lot of new to Mercer this season. They lost their most productive players on offense, but return a stout defense. Furman has seemed to figure out Mercer the last two years - good games, but never really seemed like Furman was threatened by them.
So, 9-3. I can see the Paladins losing a game or two along the way against a lesser talented team. It's really hard to win consistently in the Southern Conference - every team sees every team every year.
On a positive note, the two teams that had big coaching changes (Mercer and ETSU) we see later in the year after there's enough film on them and their personnel. Furman also has their arguably most talented opponents at home. Watch out for that Charleston Southern game - they gave us fits down there two years ago.
Agee also on the basic theory of reality “most teams lose a game they shouldn’t on paper”. Wofford last year. Etc. KSU a few years back. It’s just hard to win all the winnables when some are 60/40 odds. That oblong ball bounces weird ways at times …
11
DoomedDin1127 liked this
"Now remember, when things look bad and it looks like you're not gonna make it, then you gotta get mean. I mean plumb, mad-dog mean.
'Cause if you lose your head and you give up then you neither live nor win. That's just the way it is.”
Josey Wales
'Cause if you lose your head and you give up then you neither live nor win. That's just the way it is.”
Josey Wales
10
Same - season-ending tie @ Mercer ruins the perfect record.
AllTimeFU liked this
We few, we happy few, we band of brothers,
For he today who sheds his blood with me shall be my brother
For he today who sheds his blood with me shall be my brother
NINE
DoomedDin1127 liked this
9-3 should be attainable, but if they will probably drop one or two they shouldn't. I'll go 8-4.
Not sure how many losses other than Ol' Miss and the obligatory loss to Wofford, so I'll be optimistic at 9-2.
PLEASE DONT LOSE TO WOFFORD - given a choice between beating Wofford and making playoffs but no SoCon title... or losing to Wofford and winning a SoCon ring it would be tough (this latter example being last year exactly). Guess I would have to take the latter option (SOCON CHAMPS!!!) but dam please don't lose to Wofford !
Lol you said how many games we win, not record. Forgot about 12 games this year so I am going to up my optimism to 7-8 wins or for GF 8-4 or 7-5 leaning toward the latter.
I hope I am wrong but I think CSU will be tougher than most think. They won 5 of their last 6 games and have everyone back plus 9 transfers.