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And all of sudden it looks like Sat will be cold and rainy at Paladin Stadium.

Yes. Looks like every new forecast model has the rain getting in sooner. Not going to complain. We desperately need the rain.

Just win the dang game

In 36 hours the forecast has gone from sunny and 73 to 90% chance of rain and 59. Why do the weather geeks even bother with extended forecasts? They are useless.

apaladin wrote: ↑

Thu Oct 17, 2019 10:43 am

In 36 hours the forecast has gone from sunny and 73 to 90% chance of rain and 59. Why do the weather geeks even bother with extended forecasts? They are useless.

Because sometimes they work very well (at least less than 7 days out), and it's in everyone's best interest that they try, even if it's not 100% every time.

Per NWS, it's a 20% chance Saturday afternoon.....

Accuweather also showing 30-40 MPH wind. That's not good at all for passing game.

Weather Channel app says 57, 90% chance of rain, winds 10-15 mph.
I’ll be prepared.
But, given the track record of weather forecasters, it’s likely to change.

So this is due to a tropical storm. Would have been fine when it was 95 degrees.

Updated as of 2PM:
Weather channel-down to 80% from 90% 1PM 70% chance of rain
Accuweather- Cloudy 58-60 degrees between 1-4PM
NWS- Partly sunny-30% chance of rain Sat. afternoon. Rain mostly after 1AM Sunday.
Wildly different forecasts. I guess we will have to wait and see.

apaladin wrote: ↑

Thu Oct 17, 2019 2:17 pm

Updated as of 2PM:
Weather channel-down to 80% from 90% 1PM 70% chance of rain
Accuweather- Cloudy 58-60 degrees between 1-4PM
NWS- Partly sunny-30% chance of rain Sat. afternoon. Rain mostly after 1AM Sunday.
Wildly different forecasts. I guess we will have to wait and see.

Maybe they should stop trying to predict and just "report" the weather minutes before an event with a disclaimer that nothing is firm until we see it.

Flagman wrote: ↑

Thu Oct 17, 2019 2:52 pm

apaladin wrote: ↑

Thu Oct 17, 2019 2:17 pm

Updated as of 2PM:
Weather channel-down to 80% from 90% 1PM 70% chance of rain
Accuweather- Cloudy 58-60 degrees between 1-4PM
NWS- Partly sunny-30% chance of rain Sat. afternoon. Rain mostly after 1AM Sunday.
Wildly different forecasts. I guess we will have to wait and see.

Maybe they should stop trying to predict and just "report" the weather minutes before an event with a disclaimer that nothing is firm until we see it.

LOL, that is the only way they would be accurate!

Local NWS, which is really good, just updated its forecast.
Saturday
A chance of rain between 9am and 2pm, then showers likely after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 64. Northeast wind 6 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

Below is their updated detailed discussion.
&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 254 PM Thursday: Any time you throw a potential tropical
cyclone into the mix...the fcst is put into a state of flux...and
that is the case for this weekend. The operational GFS and ECMWF
are in relatively good agreement with the official track fcst from
NHC for the Gulf system, which lends enough confidence to make some
substantial changes starting Saturday. It still looks like the
leading edge of any precip shield will not reach SC by daybreak
Saturday, so the Friday night period will stay dry. However, the
guidance shows a steady progression of the precip shield on the
leading edge of the system moving northeast across the fcst area
on Saturday such that all our area stands a good chance of seeing
rain by sunset Saturday. Precip prob has been raised by blending
in the very high probs seen in the model blends. Temps are trending
cooler, so the day now looks cool, breezy, and wet. The track takes
the center of the storm, such that it will be having already most
likely made a transition to extratropical, past to the southeast
Saturday night. The storm will be ragged and the wind field on the
NW side is likely not to be of much significance as it currently
stands. The precip should start to cut off from the southwest by
daybreak Sunday, so we also have substantial changes with precip
prob on the back end. Latest thinking is that we should be able
to salvage Sunday afternoon with clearing sky and dry air coming
back from the NW as high pressure builds in. Precip amounts will
be enough to be beneficial and most likely not enough to cause
any problems, but this could change if the path of the system
shifts leftward.

A little water never hurt anyone.

Rain is generally more refreshing and fragrant than the perspiration which accompanied our first three home games.

I'm thinking a minimal effect for our turf, but wind is a wild card for passing. Triple option teams usually struggle in the rain? Maybe? I saw the downpour game at WCU 2 years ago and I didn't think our offense was affected at all on that turf.