Furman moving into the Top 10

[FUpaladin08]

Long way to go, but potentially hosting Wofford and then going to NDSU would be just about worst case scenario for me personally. Best case (unless we move up higher than I think we will) would be first round bye, host game, go to Kennesaw, go to anyone that’s not NDSU (or get lucky and host semis), play someone other than NDSU in Frisco.

Long way to go and some tough games for teams predicted to be seeded ahead of FU. Weber St still has to play Montana and Sac St. Montana still has to play Weber, Sac St., E Washington, and Montana St. SDSU still has to play NDSU and UNI.

I don’t think SDSU drops much unless they loss two. FU should pass Weber if they lose one. Montana has a brutal schedule ahead. If they manage to win out they are the #3 seed.

Regardless, if FU takes care of business and any losses come to those teams above this playoff picture gets much friendlier to FU (ie no early travel to the Dakotas).

[Sand1efan]

https://www.masseyratings.com/cf/compare1aa.htm

[DungeonRealm]

FU is #7 in the AGS fan poll
https://www.anygivensaturday.com/showth ... 019-SEASON

[DungeonRealm]

FU #8 in the FCS media poll
http://www.fcs.football/fcsfront.asp

STATS FCS Top 25 (Oct. 14)

1. North Dakota State (6-0), 3,923 points (155 first-place votes)
Previous Ranking: 1; Last Week's Result: 46-14 win over Northern Iowa

2. James Madison (6-1), 3,740 (2 first-place votes)
Previous Ranking: 2; Last Week's Result: 38-24 win over Villanova

3. South Dakota State (5-1), 3,612
Previous Ranking: 3; Last Week's Result: 38-28 win over Youngstown State

4. Weber State (4-2), 3,363
Previous Ranking: 4; Last Week's Result: 29-14 win over Southern Utah

5. Montana (5-1), 3,107
Previous Ranking: 8; Last Week's Result: Bye

6. Kennesaw State (5-1), 3,022
Previous Ranking: 7; Last Week's Result: 45-23 win over Charleston Southern

7. Villanova (6-1), 2,968
Previous Ranking: 5; Last Week's Result: 38-24 loss to James Madison

8. Furman (4-2), 2,703
Previous Ranking: 11; Last Week's Result: Bye

9. Nicholls (4-2), 2,653
Previous Ranking: 12; Last Week's Result: 45-35 win over Northwestern State

10. North Carolina A&T (4-1), 2,292
Previous Ranking: 13; Last Week's Result: Bye

11. Illinois State (4-2), 2,218
Previous Ranking: 14; Last Week's Result: 21-7 win over Southern Illinois

12. Montana State (5-2), 2,125
Previous Ranking: 6; Last Week's Result: 34-21 loss to Sacramento State

13. Central Arkansas (4-2), 1,849
Previous Ranking: 16; Last Week's Result: 40-31 win over McNeese

14. Northern Iowa (3-3), 1,814
Previous Ranking: 10; Last Week's Result: 46-14 loss to North Dakota State

15. Sacramento State (4-2), 1,677
Previous Ranking: N/R Last Week's Result: 34-21 win over Montana State

16. Jacksonville State (5-2), 1,585
Previous Ranking: 17; Last Week's Result: 28-20 win over Eastern Illinois

17. Princeton (4-0), 1,301
Previous Ranking: 21; Last Week's Result: 28-3 win over Lafayette

18. Towson (3-3), 1,077
Previous Ranking: 9; Last Week's Result: 38-21 loss to Albany

19. Youngstown State (4-2), 1,012
Previous Ranking: 19; Last Week's Result: 38-28 loss to South Dakota State

20. Austin Peay (4-2), 869
Previous Ranking: N/R; Last Week's Result: 28-24 win over Southeast Missouri

21. Dartmouth (4-0), 717
Previous Ranking: N/R; Last Week's Result: 42-10 win over Yale

22. New Hampshire (4-2), 713
Previous Ranking: N/R; Last Week's Result: 20-14 win over Stony Brook

23. UC Davis (3-4), 509
Previous Ranking: 24; Last Week's Result: 48-24 win over Cal Poly

24. Delaware (3-3), 403
Previous Ranking: 15; Last Week's Result: 42-7 loss to Elon

25. Central Connecticut State (5-1), 274
Previous Ranking: N/R; Last Week's Result: 24-14 win over Columbia

[CharlieFU]

Only other SoCon schools getting votes is Wofford and...wait for it...VMI! They are 3-1 in #SoCon. Last time they won 3 conference games was 2002; last time won 4 conf games was 1979. The last time they won at least 4 games overall was 2008 under #SparkyWoods.

[palafan]

POUND the Citadel!!

[purplehorse]

Don’t believe with the new 24 team playoff format that Furman has been a seeded team.

I would think that the “you don’t play a conference opponent in the first round” would not apply if you get a bye because that would be the second round.

In 2017 we beat Elon in the first round and then lost to Wofford in the 2nd round (they had a first round bye) so I think that would answer my question.

I would hope bye, home game, and the opposite side of the bracket from NDSU. I think James Madison and anyone other than NDSU there would be beatable.

[apaladin]

Delaware 3-3 just lost 42-7 to unranked Elon and still in top 25. Towson 3-3 and just lost 38-21 to unranked Albany and still #18. Just goes to show you how hard it is to drop out of the top 25. Anyone believe Austin Peay is a top 20 team? Remember they lost to ETSU and barely beat Mercer. Are they better than Woffy? NO!

[Flagman]

POUND the Citadel!!

Leave no doubt!

[FUBeAR]

I expect FU to win out and, with an expected loss by SDakSt to the bizuns and some combinations of losses by at least 3 of these 5 Teams, ...

* Weber (Massey projects they lose 3),
* Montana (Massey avg % chance they win all 6 remaining is 74%, not great - 3 on the road, including @ MTSt),
* Villanova (also 74% per Massey with @ UNH, Stony Brook, and their usual loss to UD possible),
* JMU (Massey sez 90%, but UNH & Towson are capable of knocking them off), and
* KSU (Massey sez 96%, but UNA, Monmouth, & @ Campbell could all doom the li’lhooters)...

...to be a Top 4 seed, ensuring a 1st round bye, a 2nd round home game, and a 3rd round home game after that 2nd round win.

This is what we need to be talking about...

[FUBeAR]

Delaware 3-3 just lost 42-7 to unranked Elon and still in top 25. Towson 3-3 and just lost 38-21 to unranked Albany and still #18. Just goes to show you how hard it is to drop out of the top 25. Anyone believe Austin Peay is a top 20 team? Remember they lost to ETSU and barely beat Mercer. Are they better than Woffy? NO!

APSU is better than Wofford

[DungeonRealm]

I expect FU to win out and, with an expected loss by SDakSt to the bizuns and some combinations of losses by at least 3 of these 5 Teams, ...

* Weber (Massey projects they lose 3),
* Montana (Massey avg % chance they win all 6 remaining is 74%, not great - 3 on the road, including @ MTSt),
* Villanova (also 74% per Massey with @ UNH, Stony Brook, and their usual loss to UD possible),
* JMU (Massey sez 90%, but UNH & Towson are capable of knocking them off), and
* KSU (Massey sez 96%, but UNA, Monmouth, & @ Campbell could all doom the li’lhooters)...

...to be a Top 4 seed, ensuring a 1st round bye, a 2nd round home game, and a 3rd round home game after that 2nd round win.

This is what we need to be talking about...

FU gunning for undefeated SoCon mark, would be the first time we go undefeated in the SoCon since we went 7-0 in the league in 1989 (30 years ago)

[gman]

I expect FU to win out and, with an expected loss by SDakSt to the bizuns and some combinations of losses by at least 3 of these 5 Teams, ...

* Weber (Massey projects they lose 3),
* Montana (Massey avg % chance they win all 6 remaining is 74%, not great - 3 on the road, including @ MTSt),
* Villanova (also 74% per Massey with @ UNH, Stony Brook, and their usual loss to UD possible),
* JMU (Massey sez 90%, but UNH & Towson are capable of knocking them off), and
* KSU (Massey sez 96%, but UNA, Monmouth, & @ Campbell could all doom the li’lhooters)...

...to be a Top 4 seed, ensuring a 1st round bye, a 2nd round home game, and a 3rd round home game after that 2nd round win.

This is what we need to be talking about...

FU gunning for undefeated SoCon mark, would be the first time we go undefeated in the SoCon since we went 7-0 in the league in 1989 (30 years ago)

Wow. Going undefeated then was quite an accomplishment. It should be much easier now, with the weak teams in the SoCon.

[apaladin]

Delaware 3-3 just lost 42-7 to unranked Elon and still in top 25. Towson 3-3 and just lost 38-21 to unranked Albany and still #18. Just goes to show you how hard it is to drop out of the top 25. Anyone believe Austin Peay is a top 20 team? Remember they lost to ETSU and barely beat Mercer. Are they better than Woffy? NO!

APSU is better than Wofford

I'll take your word for it but:
ETSU 20 APSU 14
WC 35 ETSU 17(wasn't that close)
Maybe you're basing that on APSU's big win over Clark 24-16., LOL.

[FUBeAR]

Delaware 3-3 just lost 42-7 to unranked Elon and still in top 25. Towson 3-3 and just lost 38-21 to unranked Albany and still #18. Just goes to show you how hard it is to drop out of the top 25. Anyone believe Austin Peay is a top 20 team? Remember they lost to ETSU and barely beat Mercer. Are they better than Woffy? NO!

APSU is better than Wofford

I'll take your word for it but:
ETSU 20 APSU 14
WC 35 ETSU 17(wasn't that close)
Maybe you're basing that on APSU's big win over Clark 24-16., LOL.

Nope - taking the unusual tact of watching both Teams play football in multiple games, having some knowledge of & experience in the game, and basing it upon that. LOL

...and you must not have watched the Woff @ ETSU game. ETSU cut the lead 2x in the 2nd half - got it down to 11, stopped Woff & had the ball on Woff’s side of the field with a chance to make it a FG difference game, but stalled (because they refuse to not try to pass the ball) and punted the ball back to Woff...who let the air out of it as they & their O can do with a gut-wrenching (15 plays (14 runs), 92 yards, 7:47) drive to score a TD for the final wider-than-it-was margin.