Playoff projections

[tim]

I feel a military upset coming on against Chatt or Samford. Crazy? Maybe so.

[apaladin]

I feel a military upset coming on against Chatt or Samford. Crazy? Maybe so.

Citadel a longshot. VMI absolutely not,

[Purple rain]

I think Chattanooga and Mercer will beat Samford.

[AllTimeFU]

I think Chattanooga and Mercer will beat Samford.

Now you're talking crazy talk. Turn over the apple cart.

[apaladin]

I think Chattanooga and Mercer will beat Samford.

Now you're talking crazy talk. Turn over the apple cart.

After watching Sammy in person, I was just not that impressed. Thought the FU loss had more to do with FU than SU, Remember Tyler Huff did not play in that game.

[purplehorse]

Sammy scored at will against ETSU. Their offense seemed almost unstoppable.

At this point I honestly am not sure who is the best among the top 4 teams in conference.

Time will tell.

[AllTimeFU]

I think Chattanooga and Mercer will beat Samford.

Now you're talking crazy talk. Turn over the apple cart.

After watching Sammy in person, I was just not that impressed. Thought the FU loss had more to do with FU than SU, Remember Tyler Huff did not play in that game.

Can I get an Amen! FU is gonna FU!! Our time is NOW. These guys are ready to rise up on 8 cylinder and make a run at the natty! Their best is yet to come!!!

[apaladin]

Sammy scored at will against ETSU. Their offense seemed almost unstoppable.

At this point I honestly am not sure who is the best among the top 4 teams in conference.

Time will tell.

Wofford scored at will aginst ETSU too. 600 yds of offense. Sammy also gave up 45 points to ET. Just sayin’

[Affirm]

I think Chattanooga and Mercer will beat Samford.

Now you're talking crazy talk. Turn over the apple cart.

After watching Sammy in person, I was just not that impressed. Thought the FU loss had more to do with FU than SU, Remember Tyler Huff did not play in that game.

Can I get an Amen! FU is gonna FU!! Our time is NOW. These guys are ready to rise up on 8 cylinder and make a run at the natty! Their best is yet to come!!!

BMW S63 M5 or better

[saltyshaker]

agree chattanooga beats samford.but mercer does not.

[AllTimeFU]

Did anyone figure out the tie break situation for the AQ? Total points allowed across all games vs just SoCon vs just amongst the tied teams games?

My rough math:
Chatty - 139 total points allowed 74 SoCon points allowed
FU - 175 total points allowed 121 SoCon points allowed
Sammy - 179 total points allowed 101 SoCon points allowed
M - 173 total points allowed 101 SoCon points allowed

[The Jackal]

Did anyone figure out the tie break situation for the AQ? Total points allowed across all games vs just SoCon vs just amongst the tied teams games?

My rough math:
Chatty - 139 total points allowed 74 SoCon points allowed
FU - 175 total points allowed 121 SoCon points allowed
Sammy - 179 total points allowed 101 SoCon points allowed
M - 173 total points allowed 101 SoCon points allowed

I forget, but go back and look at 2018. The rule was applied that season.

I'm pretty sure that Furman, ETSU, and Wofford ended tied at 6-2. All three were 1-1 against the other two. All three had lost to the next ranked team (Samford) and beaten everyone else.

The points allowed math came into play. I just forget how it was applied.

[FUBeAR]

Did anyone figure out the tie break situation for the AQ? Total points allowed across all games vs just SoCon vs just amongst the tied teams games?

My rough math:
Chatty - 139 total points allowed 74 SoCon points allowed
FU - 175 total points allowed 121 SoCon points allowed
Sammy - 179 total points allowed 101 SoCon points allowed
M - 173 total points allowed 101 SoCon points allowed

I forget, but go back and look at 2018. The rule was applied that season.

I'm pretty sure that Furman, ETSU, and Wofford ended tied at 6-2. All three were 1-1 against the other two. All three had lost to the next ranked team (Samford) and beaten everyone else.

The points allowed math came into play. I just forget how it was applied.

Looks like ALL CONF GAMES…

https://www.greenvilleonline.com/story ... 031314002/

“The tiebreaker centered on which of the three teams allowed the fewest points in conference games.”


SCORING DEFENSE G TD FG XPT 2XP DXP Saf Points Avg/G
1. Chattanooga 5 9 4 8 0 0 0 74 14.8
2. Mercer 6 11 8 11 0 0 0 101 16.8
3. Furman 6 15 6 13 0 0 0 121 20.2
4. Samford 5 11 8 11 0 0 0 101 20.2

…and, just for fun, adding the Avg point scored by the remaining opponents yields…

Chattanooga = 74+13.8+38.0+23.4 = 149.2
Mercer = 101+31.2+38.0 = 170.2
Furman = 121+39.8+20.0 = 180.8
Samford = 101+31.4+39.8 = 172.2

…so a tie-breaker without Chatt could be fun, but, statistically, the Mocs look like they would win the AQ in a 3 way tie-breaker or maybe a 4 way…if that’s possible, and if it’s possible for a 4 way to get to the Points Allowed step

[AllTimeFU]

You guys are math wizzies. So I guess for reputation purposes we want chatty winning but giving up some points in high scoring games. Still need a Sammy loss and FU winning out. If we were AQ we would have better chance at a first round bye. Sometimes that’s good. Sometimes not good to break the rhythm.

[Paul C]

Just win, baby…